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Leveraged Capital
Newsletter           
June 2001
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The Leveraged Capital Newsletter, sponsored by Graham Financial Corporation   (http://www.GrahamFinancial.com), is a free monthly newsletter that presents growth 
and strategy issues effecting entrepreneurs and owners of small to medium sized companies.

You are receiving this newsletter because you have requested that we send you our monthly editions.   We do not believe in "spaming" anyone.  Your time is valuable and if you have received this newsletter in error, please let us know.  If you do not want to continue to receive Leveraged Capital please see our unsubscribe instructions at the bottom of this edition.

To subscribe mail to:     subscribe@grahamfinancial.com with the word "subscribe" in the subject field.
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 In this months inaugural issue:

bulletWelcome to The Leveraged Capital Newsletter
bulletYour Dot Com Is Not Gone.  Now What?
bulletQuick Stuff:   Numbers On The Edge - The Altman Z-Score.

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Quote Of the Month
:
“Quit now, you'll never make it. If you disregard this advice, you'll be halfway there.”  
-David Zucker.

Investment Hindsight:
What are you planning to do Mr. Bell...... wire up every house in the country? 

(Ridicule given to Alexander Bell when he  presented plans for wire telephony to bankers and investors in Phil
adelphia)
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Welcome to the Leveraged Capital Newsletter. 

Our goal is to provide you with timely and informative articles about growth and strategy issues effecting entrepreneurs and small to medium sized companies.   Each month Leveraged Capital will deal with issues affecting your business.  You will be able to read topics ranging from finance, human resources, buying companies, selling your company, and technology.   In coming months you will read profiles about other entrepreneurs and current decision makers.  We will keep timely content levels high, advertising content low, and welcome your feedback.

Are you interested in contributing articles?  Or, do you have an interesting and unique story to tell about your company?  We would like to interview you.
Please contact us by Email at:   editor@GrahamFinancial.com

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Your Dot Com Is Not Gone.  Now What?

We have all read, some even recant the stats with glee, the carnage that is ravaging dot-com companies today.  Simply open up any business paper and look for last years hottest IPO or technology that was so hot it has gone up in flames.  Many firms are struggling to make last weeks payroll, let alone make a profit.  But you're still open for business.  Your migraine quotient has increased, you're slightly bloodied from the recent carnage, but your office is still open.  Now what?  For starters, put thoughts of IPO riches on the shelf for the moment and stop relying on spreadsheet magic;  it’s time to focus on what you set out to do. 

bullet

Conserve Cash.  If you still have some venture capital (VC) or angel money in the till, keep it there.  If you are generating cash flow through operations keep it in the business.   Even if you have it, act as if you don't have any money and take every effort to bolster up your bottom line.

bullet

Review Your Business Plan.  It's either (a) that napkin stuck underneath your mouse pad  (b) a weighty document with spectacular graphics, voluminous spreadsheets, and verbiage that present nothing close to reality or (c) somewhere in between these two extremes that actually present an intelligent business model of your company.   In any of these scenarios, you likely haven't looked at the plan since you were funded or made the investment to start the company.

Scenario 1. You pull out the stained wrinkled paper from under your mouse pad, or you ask one of your partners if he/she has the plan somewhere.  Your “plan” consisted of  massive losses for three years followed by positive cash flow as a result of the next best IPO.  Use this business plan to save heating costs and use it to light kindling in your fireplace.  Chances are your company is  dot-gone and some of your options may  include moving back in with your parents. 

Scenario 2.  You actually have a plan that leads to a path of profitability because of your technology, service, or product.  You are not reliant on an IPO or spreadsheet tricks.  Take it off the bookshelf and re-read it.   A business plan is not a static piece of literature.  By the very nature of your business environment, your business plan should be dynamic and reviewed at least each year.   What have you managed to achieve according to plan and how?  Where did you fall short and why?  What needs to change?  If you can't answer these questions you will need to. Very soon.  If you are not asking these questions, chances are your investors and/or banks  will. Very soon.

bullet

Keep Your Most Valuable Employees.  Layoffs may be inevitable but you can not afford to lose the best of your team.  Keep your employees informed, motivated, and on side with the challenges you and the company are facing.  You brought them on as members of a team;  keep the team intact as much as possible.  Let them know you see light at the end of this tunnel.  Your management team will be a deciding factor in your future survival and the worth of your company.  

bullet

Keep Your Head Up For Opportunities.  Dot-com consolidation is right in front of us.  Whether you acquire technology assets or corner larger market share by consolidating, now is the time to be look for these opportunities.  Humility and in some cases desperation has set in with many companies.  Valuations have become much more realistic and investment money has not simply disappeared.  Growth through acquisition is possible with a solid plan combined with a focused and strong management team.  Venture capital and banks still want and need to make investments but they have become increasingly selective about where money will be placed.  If you recognize an acquisition opportunity, you will need much more than a napkin outline to fund it.  Communicating strong, well thought out business fundamentals, combined with a committed management team will make an investment by a VC or other lender / investor much more likely. 

bullet

Communicate With Your Investors, Banks, and Suppliers.  They all know that cash flow is tight and that you likely have not hit your projections for the year.  To a person they will want to see you succeed and survive.  Talk with them so they understand how you plan to work through the next quarter and year.  There is no sense ignoring them;  they want to avoid surprises and it is in their best interests to help you create a plan for survival.  Use them as sounding boards not only to get through this year but also to build a stronger foundation to grow your company on into the future.

bullet

Keep Your Head High.  Take some free time, and reflect on why you started your company in the first place.  Be proud that you are still open for business despite of the dot-com industry implosion.  You’re still here today and you can be tomorrow if you keep these basics in mind.

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Quick Stuff:    Numbers On The Edge - The Altman Z Score. 

The Z Score was originally created at New York's University by Professor Edward Altman as a ratio to predict bankruptcy.  The ratio has it's short falls and has been revised over the years but can be a useful ratio tool.  It can be used to predict bankruptcy, and is used by credit officers to gauge credit applications but it has some interesting applications for business owners.  The Z Score can assist owners in identifying needed areas of focus such as reviewing existing lines of credits with banks, identifying unprofitable products, improving asset management,  assessing various cost-reduction programs, and highlighting the effect of increased sales on the company.

Altman used these four variables for private firms with assets over $1 million:

{ (Working Capital / Total Assets) x 6.56 }
+ { (Retained Earnings / Total Assets) x 3.26 }
+ { (EBIT / Total Assets) x 6.72 } 
+ { (Shareholders Equity / Total Liabilities) x 1.05 }
= Z - Score

Z - SCORE

BANKRUPTCY PROBABILITY

1.10 or less Very High
1.11 to 1.99 High
2.00 to 2.60 Possible
2.61 or higher Very Low

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If you find this Newsletter beneficial, please feel free to forward a copy to your clients and associates.

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To subscribe mail to:     subscribe@grahamfinancial.com with the word "subscribe" in the subject field.
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